A new exchange trader's guide to a technical analysis



HOME		 - Description of Technical Analysis -
A technical analysis is divided into a trend imitation type index, an oscillator system index, and a piece rate index.
The fundamental view of each technical-analysis index and usage are carried. He buys a technical analysis and it shows an analysis person a sign, a sale sign, a profit-taking target value, a loss cut level, etc. However, many cheat also exists in an analysis result. It is necessary to discern whether it is the high sign of the establishment which reduces a cheat and leads to profits. It is very important work "to analyze" validity of a technical analysis by the combination of a technical analysis, the back test in each currency pair, etc.
Trend imitation type index Oscillator system index Piece rate index
Moving average line Bollinger band Momentum Stochastics Volume ratio(VR)
Parabolic time price Envelope psychological line Directional Movment Index(DMI) Wako volume ratio(WVR)
Key leg New price leg % Ｒ oscillator separate line On balance volume(OBV)
Renkouasi P&F RSI RCI
ROC MACD Pivot
Technical analysis index-Trend imiteition type index-Envelope(Envelope)

Envelope(Envelope)

Envelopeは移動平均線を一定の割合で上下に乖離させたテクニカル指標です。
Envelopeの見方は上下バンドを反転の目安にする、今後の値幅予測などです。

上下バンドを反転の目安にする
・上に乖離させたバンドに価格が到達した地点が売りサイン
・下に乖離させたバンドに価格が到達した地点が買いサイン
このサインは移動平均線から価格がある程度乖離した後は価格は移動平均線へ回帰という考えが元になっています。乖離幅を小さくしすぎると反転の目安にはならず、各通貨ペアに合った乖離幅を探る必要があります。

値幅予測に使う
・上下バンドは反転の目安として使用できることから上バンドから下バンドまでが
　今後の値幅と見ることもできます。


エンベロープ　(Envelope)

Envelopeの計算方法

UPバンド＝移動平均+任意の値幅（又は移動平均×比率）
LOWバンド＝移動平均-任意の値幅（又は移動平均×比率）
About a technical analysis My back test method
 -Back test vol.II-Back test vol.III-Back test vol.IV
A risk is mitigated by the distributed entry.
- Timing (time)
- Distribute an entry price.
- Distribute a dealings currency pair.(Diversified investment)		 The view of a candlestick
- candlestick
- The pattern of a candlestick
- candlestick and moving average line		 Practical use of a trend line
- Trend line (Trend line)
- How to pull a trend line
- The view of a trend line
- Outline 		Trend
- Trend (trend)?
- The present trend judgment
- The guess of trend conversion
Technical index practical use
Stochastics
- Stochastics
- Proper use of a dealing sign		 It sells and buys by the retrogression phenomenon.
- Retrogression phenomenon
 Practical use of a moving average line
- Support/resistance
- Buying on reaction/selling on price recovery to former levels		 Bollinger band
- Dealing sign
- Proper use of a dealing sign
The chart of a past rate（Candlestick chart/line chart）
USD/JPY chart EUR/JPY chart GBP/JPY chart
GBP/USD chart EUR/USD chart
Range-of-fluctuation data of each currency pair
USD/JPY EUR/JPY GBP/JPY
AUD/JPY EUR/USD GBP/USD
Forex or Technical analysis Books-
Foreign exchange rate real-time rate-Foreign exchange real-time chart-Forex treder's BBS-exchange-transactions company list
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(A new exchange trader's guide to a technical analysis)